Since the 2012 elections, I've been compiling the predictions of major pundits and ranking them for accuracy. Catarina Dutilh Novaes asked me to post about the philosophical issues surrounding election prediction for the philosophers at NewApps. The post includes a table of 25 people's state-by-state predictions, from the successes of Markos Moulitsas and Nate Silver to the abject failures of Michael Barone, George Will, Steve Forbes, and Dick Morris.
Better story, harder philosophy
3 hours ago